Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Rwamwanja stadium (Nkoma)


	Mbarara City		NEC FC

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.20	1.70
	4.04	3.01	1.88
	4.28	3.13	1.85	Watch
	4.00	2.95	1.85
	4.68	3.23	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbarara City
21.1%

Draw
29.1%

NEC FC
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.7%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mbarara City - NEC FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

NEC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, NEC is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
29.08.26	Police - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Mbarara City - Villa	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
28.04.26	Mbarara City - Express	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	NEC FC - Mbarara City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LLWWT
- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
01.09.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kampala City Council - NEC FC	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	NEC FC - Villa	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Kitara - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
28.04.26	Bul - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
24.04.26	NEC FC - Mbarara City	0:0
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1
30.04.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	1:2
04.01.25	NEC FC - Mbarara City	1:0
09.02.24	NEC FC - Mbarara City	2:0

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