Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Villa Dálmine		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.35
	2.95	2.75	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.65	2.6
	3.17	2.78	2.71
	2.9	2.8	2.55	Watch
	2.98	2.86	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.77)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
30.6%

Draw
32.9%

Defensores de Belgrano
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

31.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

24%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Dálmine's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Villa Dálmine is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.21	San Telmo - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Villa Dálmine - All Boys	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
28.03.21	Villa Dálmine - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLT
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
10.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.03.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.01.21	Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
20.10.19	Villa Dálmine - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
06.04.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine	2:1

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