Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - 5TH-8TH PLACES - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Bonfim)


	Villa Nova AC		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.14	3.04	3.63
	2.5	2.88	2.75
	2.45	3.13	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.19)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
37.9%

Draw
30.9%

Democrata GV
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Democrata GV have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Nova won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
13.03.23	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
27.02.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:0 ✺
22.02.23	Villa Nova AC - Ipatinga	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Villa Nova AC - Cruzeiro	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
13.03.23	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Democrata GV - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Democrata GV - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Patrocinense - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
13.03.23	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	0:2
08.02.23	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	1:1
27.03.22	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	1:3
23.03.22	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	1:2
02.02.22	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
02.10.21	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	3:1
06.09.21	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:0

Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide