Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - 5TH-8TH PLACES - 5TH PLACE

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Soares de Azevedo (Minas Gerais)


	Tombense		Villa Nova AC

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	4.2
	1.85	3.35	3.6
	1.84	3.32	4.39
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.48	4.3	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)	4.12 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
50.4%

Draw
27.3%

Villa Nova AC
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+2%)

Tombense - Villa Nova AC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tombense won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tombense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tombense won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Pouso Alegre - Tombense	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.03.23	Tombense - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
04.03.23	América Mineiro - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTWL
- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
27.02.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2
27.02.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:0
06.02.22	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	2:1
08.03.20	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2
16.02.19	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:1
17.01.18	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	1:0
02.04.17	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	2:0

Tombense - Villa Nova AC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide