Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday


	Democrata GV		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.4
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3	3.7
	2.16	2.95	3.62
	2	3	3.7
	2.03	3.3	3.78
	2.11	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.27)	3.11 ↑ (3.03)	3.57 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
44.5%

Draw
29.7%

Santa Cruz Recife
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Democrata GV - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Democrata GV will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Democrata GV will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Patrocinense - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	América Mineiro - Democrata GV	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.02.23	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.23	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWTW

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