Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Villa de Santa Brígida		Santa Úrsula

	1	X	2
	2.06	3	3.55
	2.1	2.92	3.52
	2.09	3.03	3.58	Watch
	2.04	3.1	3.49
	2.06	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	3.54 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Santa Brígida
44%

Draw
30.3%

Santa Úrsula
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Santa Brígida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Santa Úrsula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Úrsula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Úrsula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Gil A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Barrios J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Brígida won 2.

Santa Brígida is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Brígida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Brígida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Santa Brígida won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Brígida won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:7 (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Villa de Santa Brígida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.02.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Buzanada	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Marino	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Mensajero - Villa de Santa Brígida	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- CD Santa Úrsula
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.02.25	Santa Úrsula - Buzanada	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Marino - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Lanzarote - Santa Úrsula	7:0 ✺
18.01.25	Santa Úrsula - Arucas	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Santa Úrsula - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
12.10.24	Santa Úrsula - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:1
02.12.23	Santa Úrsula - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:1
01.04.23	Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula	2:0
03.12.22	Santa Úrsula - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1
05.03.22	Santa Úrsula - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:0
23.10.21	Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula	3:3
27.10.19	Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula	1:1

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