Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Villafranca		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.9	3.1	2.31
				Watch
	2.9	2.97	2.4
	2.9	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.27)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.33 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
31.6%

Draw
29.5%

CD Extremadura
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villafranca's form might have worsened.

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Extremadura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Extremadura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villafranca - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Diaz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Callejon J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.12.24	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
11.12.24	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Llerenense - Villafranca	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.12.24	CD Extremadura - Moralo	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Diocesano - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	CD Extremadura - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Castuera - CD Extremadura	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	CD Extremadura - Trujillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLW

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