Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.55	2.75
	2.97	2.47	2.97
	2.92	2.48	2.92
	2.82	2.73	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.45)	2.56 ↓ (3.04)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
32.1%

Draw
35.8%

Águilas
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villanovense's form might have worsened.

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villanovense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Villanovense - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Alonso B. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Alvarez V. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.24	Orihuela - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Villanovense - Cadiz CF B	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villanovense	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Villanovense - Estepona	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.24	Orihuela - Águilas	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Águilas - Linense	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Águilas - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Águilas - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLW

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