Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.2	2.9	3.35
	2.31	2.91	3.52
	2.24	2.83	3.47
	2.23	2.97	3.36
	2.2	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)	2.9 ↓ (3.08)	3.38 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
41.2%

Draw
31.6%

Orihuela
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linares Deportivo - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Ayo ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Linares is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Orihuela in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Orihuela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Linares will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.11.24	Cadiz CF B - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Linares Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Xerez Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTT
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.24	Orihuela - Águilas	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Orihuela - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Linense - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Langreo - Orihuela	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Xerez CD - Orihuela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWW

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