Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Moralo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.9
	1.56	3.57	6.28	Watch
	1.59	3.74	5.72
	1.5	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	6.03 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
59.7%

Draw
25.1%

Moralo
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moralo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moralo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villanovense - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Fuseini M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Villanovense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Moralo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Villanovense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villanovense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
13.10.25	Don Benito - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Villanovense - Gévora	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Calamonte - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Moralo - Cabeza del Buey	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Llerenense - Moralo	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pueblonuevo - Moralo	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Moralo - Montijo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.09.20	Moralo - Villanovense	1:0 penalties

Villanovense - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide