Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.35	11
	1.17	6.39	13.07
	1.22	5.59	12.53	Watch
	1.2	6.17	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)	5.88 ↑ (4.5)	12.53 ↑ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
77%

Draw
15.7%

Pueblonuevo
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

10.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.

Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-39.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pueblonuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villanovense - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Izquierdo L. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Mena I. ⚽,
88', Mena I. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Pueblonuevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villanovense is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
13.10.25	Don Benito - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTWL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.25	Llerenense - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Pueblonuevo - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Jerez - Pueblonuevo	5:1 ✺
12.10.25	Montijo - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pueblonuevo - Moralo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW

Villanovense - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide