Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 27

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Villaralbo		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.5	3	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.02)	3 (3)	2.74 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaralbo
37.4%

Draw
29.9%

Burgos Promesas
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaralbo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villaralbo's form might have worsened.

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos Promesas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villaralbo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Cueto G. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Menor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villaralbo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.03.24	Leonesa B - Villaralbo	3:4 ✺
16.03.24	Villaralbo - Almazán	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Salamanca - Villaralbo	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Villaralbo - Laguna de Tenerife	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WTTWL
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.03.24	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Bembibre - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Burgos Promesas - Laguna de Tenerife	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Becerril - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Burgos Promesas - Mirandés B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.11.23	Burgos Promesas - Villaralbo	0:0

Villaralbo - Burgos Promesas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide