Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 33

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Bembibre		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.2	1.99
	3.38	3.29	2.06
	3.28	3.26	2.1
	3.62	3.1	2.12
	3.5	3.2	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4.43)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
26.6%

Draw
28.5%

Burgos Promesas
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bembibre's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bembibre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bembibre - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Bembibre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos Promesas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Burgos Promesas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bembibre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bembibre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.04.25	La Virgen del Camino - Bembibre	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Bembibre - Laguna de Tenerife	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Leonesa B - Bembibre	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mirandés B - Bembibre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWLTW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.04.25	Burgos Promesas - Arandina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Becerril - Burgos Promesas	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Burgos Promesas - Briviesca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
30.11.24	Burgos Promesas - Bembibre	3:1
17.03.24	Bembibre - Burgos Promesas	1:1
29.10.23	Burgos Promesas - Bembibre	1:2

Bembibre - Burgos Promesas