Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Villaralbo		Numancia B

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.5
	2.11	2.91	3.55
	2.11	2.99	3.58
	2.09	2.92	3.57
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaralbo
43.6%

Draw
30.7%

Numancia B
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaralbo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Villaralbo - Numancia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Villaralbo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villaralbo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villaralbo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Villaralbo	8	2	3	3	13:11	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Villaralbo - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Villaralbo	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Villaralbo - Unionistas B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guijuelo - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTL
- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	Numancia B - Unionistas B	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Guijuelo - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Mojados - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Numancia B - Almazán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.09.25	Numancia B - Villaralbo	1:1

Villaralbo - Numancia B