Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Numancia B		Leonesa B

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.3	2.82	3.1
	2.3	2.98	3.15
	2.31	2.88	3.11
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.28)	2.9 ↓ (2.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia B
39.7%

Draw
31.3%

Leonesa B
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

32%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Leonesa B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Numancia B - Leonesa B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 3.

Numancia B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leonesa B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Numancia B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.12.25	Mojados - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Numancia B - Almazán	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Atlético Palencia - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Numancia B - Becerril	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Numancia B - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.12.25	Leonesa B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Villaralbo - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Unionistas B - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Leonesa B - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Mirandés B - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.01.23	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:0
24.09.22	Leonesa B - Numancia B	3:1
02.04.22	Numancia B - Leonesa B	1:1
21.11.21	Leonesa B - Numancia B	1:3
25.01.20	Leonesa B - Numancia B	1:3
07.09.19	Numancia B - Leonesa B	4:0
01.09.18	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:0

Numancia B - Leonesa B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide