Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Villarreal C		Burriana

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.83	3.06	3.82
	1.85	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	3.86 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
48.5%

Draw
28.3%

Burriana
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal C's form might have worsened.

Burriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burriana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burriana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Villarreal C is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burriana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Villarreal C is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal C won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.02.24	Acero - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal C - Atzeneta	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Roda - Villarreal C	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Torrellano - Villarreal C	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Villarreal C - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW
- CD Burriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.02.24	Burriana - Atzeneta	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Torrellano - Burriana	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Burriana - Castellonense	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Burriana - Patacona	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Español de San Vicente - Burriana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.10.23	Burriana - Villarreal C	1:1

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