Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Torrellano		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.05	2
	3.24	3.08	2.23	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.2
	3.3	2.97	2.17
	3.5	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.68)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	2.14 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrellano
27%

Draw
30.7%

Villarreal C
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrellano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torrellano's form might have worsened.

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrellano than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torrellano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torrellano - Villarreal C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Caler F. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrellano won 2.

Torrellano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarreal C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villarreal C may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torrellano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrellano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Villarreal C	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
18	Torrellano	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Torrellano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	La Nucía - Torrellano	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Torrellano - Crevillente Deportivo	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Soneja - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Torrellano - Buñol	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Utiel - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.01.26	Villarreal C - Hércules B	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Villarreal C - Levante B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellonense - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
30.03.25	Torrellano - Villarreal C	0:0
16.11.24	Villarreal C - Torrellano	2:2
21.01.24	Torrellano - Villarreal C	1:0
25.03.23	Torrellano - Villarreal C	2:1
27.11.22	Villarreal C - Torrellano	3:2
30.01.22	Villarreal C - Torrellano	3:0
02.10.21	Torrellano - Villarreal C	3:2

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