Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 14

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Villarreal C		Hércules B

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.38	4.15	6.9
	1.46	4.13	6.17
	1.34	4.48	8.85	Watch
	1.36	3.9	8.5
	1.36	3.98	8.7
	1.33	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	4.13 ↑ (4.04)	7.55 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
65.8%

Draw
22.1%

Hércules B
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

16.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hércules B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal C that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules B than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarreal C - Hércules B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, Abdelilah H. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

In recent matches, Villarreal C has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hércules B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Villarreal C is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Villarreal C	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
4	Hercules B	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Villarreal C - Levante B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellonense - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL
- Hércules B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Castellonense - Hércules B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hércules B - Ontinyent 1931	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules B - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Hércules B	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hércules B - Soneja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.03.23	Hércules B - Villarreal C	2:0
06.11.22	Villarreal C - Hércules B	1:0
26.02.22	Hércules B - Villarreal C	1:0
24.10.21	Villarreal C - Hércules B	2:1
04.01.20	Hércules B - Villarreal C	1:1

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