Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Villarreal C		Ontinyent 1931

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.86	3.25	3.9
	1.75	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.96)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	4.02 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
49.6%

Draw
27.8%

Ontinyent 1931
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ontinyent 1931 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Llopis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In recent matches, Villarreal C has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ontinyent 1931 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villarreal C could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Nucía - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Villarreal C - Crevillente Deportivo	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Villarreal C - Buñol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTT
- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Ontinyent 1931	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Utiel	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vall de Uxó - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.25	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	3:0
27.10.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	0:0
14.04.24	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	2:1
26.11.23	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	1:2

Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931