Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Castellonense		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.15	2.92
	2.27	2.92	3.28
	2.26	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.26	3.36	3.05
	2.25	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
40.9%

Draw
29.9%

Villarreal C
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Castellonense - Villarreal C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Castellonense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Villarreal C's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Castellonense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Castellonense - Buñol	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Alzira - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.11.25	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Nucía - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Villarreal C - Crevillente Deportivo	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.01.25	Villarreal C - Castellonense	2:2
07.01.24	Villarreal C - Castellonense	1:1

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