Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Manchego

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.1	1.75
	4.6	3.28	1.72
	4.62	3.31	1.76
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	4.39	3.24	1.77
	4.5	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.59)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
19.9%

Draw
28.1%

Manchego
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

27.9%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

27.5%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+1%)

Villarrobledo - Manchego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Manchego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manchego is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarrobledo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.12.25	Villarrobledo - Sonseca	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albacete B - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villarrobledo - La Solana	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW
- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.12.25	Manchego - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	La Solana - Manchego	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Manchego - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cazalegas - Manchego	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Manchego - Huracán Balazote	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.02.25	Manchego - Villarrobledo	6:0
22.09.24	Villarrobledo - Manchego	1:1
11.03.23	Manchego - Villarrobledo	1:1
06.11.22	Villarrobledo - Manchego	0:0
27.03.22	Manchego - Villarrobledo	3:0
28.11.21	Villarrobledo - Manchego	0:1
24.03.19	Villarrobledo - Manchego	1:0

Villarrobledo - Manchego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide