Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Villacañas

	1	X	2
	4.05	2.62	2.05
	4.17	2.83	2.03
	4	2.63	2.05
	3.98	2.74	2.06
	4.2	2.83	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (4.28)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
22.2%

Draw
33.2%

Villacañas
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

33.3%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

32.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Villarrobledo - Villacañas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 1.

Villarrobledo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villacañas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Villacañas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarrobledo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarrobledo	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11
10	Villacanas	5	2	1	2	6:4	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.12.25	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Villarrobledo - Manchego	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrobledo - Sonseca	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albacete B - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villarrobledo - La Solana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLL
- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
20.12.25	Villacañas - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	La Solana - Villacañas	0:1 ✺
10.12.25	Cazalegas - Villacañas	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villacañas - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.25	Villacañas - Villarrobledo	Villacanas awarded
15.09.24	Villarrobledo - Villacañas	1:2
21.04.24	Villarrobledo - Villacañas	2:2
03.12.23	Villacañas - Villarrobledo	3:2
23.04.23	Villacañas - Villarrobledo	2:4
08.01.23	Villarrobledo - Villacañas	0:0
02.04.22	Villarrobledo - Villacañas	2:0

Villarrobledo - Villacañas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide