Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Illescas		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.65
	1.69	3.56	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.8
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	4.86 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
54.2%

Draw
27.1%

Villarrobledo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Illescas - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Villarrobledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Illescas is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
13.12.25	Albacete B - Illescas	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Illescas - La Solana	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Illescas	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Illescas - Cazalegas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Huracán Balazote - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Villarrobledo - Manchego	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrobledo - Sonseca	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albacete B - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villarrobledo - La Solana	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.03.23	Villarrobledo - Illescas	0:0
19.11.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	2:0
08.05.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:1
10.04.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:0
08.12.21	Villarrobledo - Illescas	3:2

Illescas - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide