The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villaverde San Andrés 36%
Draw 28.1%
México 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
28.3%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
29.5%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villaverde San Andrés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villaverde San Andrés's form might have worsened.
México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting México's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villaverde San Andrés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for México, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villaverde San Andrés - México Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Villaverde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Villaverde is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villaverde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Villaverde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.