Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:00	Footballclub


	Alcalá		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.10	2.60
	2.45	3.00	2.60
	2.55	2.90	2.63
	2.62	2.96	2.79
	2.55	3.07	2.71	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.70
	2.59	3.21	2.69
	2.50	3.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
36%

Draw
30%

San Sebastian Reyes
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 0, Viana E. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Telis M. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Ricoy L. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alcalá has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcalá against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	San Sebastian Reyes	8	5	1	2	13:8	5	16
14	RSD Alcala	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.10.26	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Salamanca - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Ávila	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1
06.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcalá	1:0
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3

Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes