Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.25
	1.29	4.6	9
	1.28	5	9.4
	1.28	5.3	12.11
	1.25	4.5	11
	1.28	5.2	9.8	Watch
	1.27	4.9	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.49)	4.93 ↑ (3.6)	9.82 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
72%

Draw
18.6%

Bastia-Borgo
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

25.1%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

23.8%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Le Mans - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Le Mans is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
24.02.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Le Mans - Nancy	0:1 ✺
10.02.23	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
06.02.23	Le Mans - Concarneau	3:2 ✺
23.01.23	Sedan - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWL
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
24.02.23	Bastia-Borgo - Nancy	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	Concarneau - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	Bastia-Borgo - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
03.02.23	Orleans - Bastia-Borgo	3:0 ✺
20.01.23	Bastia-Borgo - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	2:2
22.04.22	Le Mans - Bastia-Borgo	0:1
03.12.21	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	1:0
19.02.21	Le Mans - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
18.09.20	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	1:1

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