Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.88	3.05	4
	2.08	3.15	3.45
	1.99	3.17	4.37
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.93	3.24	4.05	Watch
	2	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.25)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.87 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
46.6%

Draw
29.8%

Villefranche
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villefranche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villefranche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Dunkerque - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Villefranche will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dunkerque will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
10.03.23	Stade Briochin - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
03.03.23	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Cholet - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	Dunkerque - Versailles	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Bastia-Borgo - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTLL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
10.03.23	Villefranche - Orleans	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Villefranche - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Martigues - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
10.02.23	Villefranche - Avranches	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:2
06.03.20	Dunkerque - Villefranche	1:1
27.09.19	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:0
09.02.19	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:1
31.08.18	Dunkerque - Villefranche	1:1

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