The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villefranche 35.7%
Draw 30.2%
Bourg-Péronnas 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
29%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
29%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Villefranche - Bourg Péronnas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (G) 2. Sbai H. 4. Valentim E. 28. Ahamada A. 14. Dekoke N. (C) 25. Ouedraogo L. 27. Mixtur K. 10. Mroivili R. 7. Louzif M. 18. Keita S. 9. Leye B.
1. Boulhendi T. (G) 12. Pembele A. 19. Sylla M. 5. Lacour Q. (C) 26. Vitre N. 3. Koite C. 21. Bodmer M. 10. Meyer J. 2. Touray S. 17. Boumaaoui M. 20. Cisse S.
Substitutes
5. Kabeya E. 19. Nagera K. 29. Ngom Matip T. 11. Sylla K. 12. Testud K.
29. Magassouba M. 16. Mazuy A. (G) 24. Mouaddeb N. 28. Slimani R. 18. Tankiev B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leye B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Pembele A. 🟨,
56', Keita S. 🟨,
59', Touray S. 🟨,
64', Meyer J. ↓, Magassouba M. ↑,
65', Touray S. ↓, Slimani R. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Boumaaoui M. ⚽,
70', Koite C. 🟨,
74', Mixtur K. ↓, Testud K. ↑,
75', Leye B. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
75', Ahamada A. ↓, Ngom Matip T. ↑,
81', Sbai H. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
82', Cisse S. ↓, Tankiev B. ↑,
83', Bodmer M. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villefranche won 3.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villefranche won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villefranche won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).