Match Info

National - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Lyon
World	FIFA+


	Villefranche		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.1	2.22
	3.49	3.18	2.23
	3.08	3.23	2.18	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.4	3.03	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.86)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	2.24 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
29.1%

Draw
29.7%

Valenciennes
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Villefranche - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (G) 14. Dekoke N. (C) 6. Bayeye B. J. 18. Keita S. 4. Tshibuabua M. 3. Grippon T. 10. Mroivili R. 26. Sabihi N. 27. Mixtur K. 9. Leye B. 11. Assef M.	1. Louchet J. (G) 32. Niakate S. 5. Passi B. 29. Coeff A. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 25. Belloumou S. 33. Marechal T. 26. Diomande D. 8. Rouai M. 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 18. Courtet G.
Substitutes
5. Kabeya E. 7. Louzif M. 8. Marcel V. 2. Sbai H. 12. Testud K.	7. Abi C. 11. Appuah S. 22. Boissier R. 4. Landre L. 13. Takaoka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Passi B. ⚽, Marechal T. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Leye B. ⚽, Bayeye B. J. (A),
43', Louchet J. 🟨,
44', Leye B. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Assef M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Keita S. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Passi B. ⚽, Diomande D. (A),
62', 2 - 3, Diomande D. ⚽, Marechal T. (A),
70', Belloumou S. ↓, Appuah S. ↑,
74', Grippon T. ↓, Louzif M. ↑,
75', Keita S. ↓, Marcel V. ↑,
75', Assef M. ↓, Testud K. ↑,
77', Diomande D. 🟨,
80', Leye B. 🟨,
83', Marechal T. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
83', Courtet G. ↓, Abi C. ↑,
85', Mroivili R. ↓, Sbai H. ↑,
88', Koum Mbondo A. 🟨,
88', Sabihi N. ↓, Kabeya E. ↑,
90+1', Diomande D. ↓, Landre L. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villefranche won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Villefranche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
27.02.26	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Villefranche - Dijon	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Villefranche - Versailles	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Quevilly - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLTWW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
28.02.26	Valenciennes - Caen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Valenciennes - Stade Briochin	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Valenciennes - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Valenciennes - Villefranche	2:0
07.03.25	Villefranche - Valenciennes	0:2
04.10.24	Valenciennes - Villefranche	2:2

Villefranche - Valenciennes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide