Match Info

National - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	FIFA+


	Sochaux		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.55	4.85
	1.72	3.5	5.43
	1.65	3.54	4.91	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.74	3.44	4.94	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	4.99 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
55.1%

Draw
26.6%

Villefranche
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sochaux - Villefranche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pierre A. (G) 17. Youssouf B. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 24. Tavares D. 23. Masson J. 15. Mexique J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 5. Baghdadi S. 10. Fofana B. 9. Djoco K.	1. Pean S. (G) 6. Bayeye B. J. 4. Tshibuabua M. 14. Dekoke N. (C) 25. Ouedraogo L. 10. Mroivili R. 22. Etoga L. 18. Keita S. 26. Sabihi N. 9. Leye B. 24. Touho M.
Substitutes
8. Bayanginisa H. 3. Gomis D. 6. Mendes E. 12. Sidibe A. 11. Vetro J.	17. Camelo L. 7. Louzif M. 8. Marcel V. 27. Mixtur K. 12. Testud K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Baghdadi S. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Masson J. 🟨,
39', Bayeye B. J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Djoco K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Touho M. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
46', Etoga L. ↓, Testud K. ↑,
65', Masson J. ↓, Mendes E. ↑,
66', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
68', Vitelli A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Leye B. ⚽, Mroivili R. (A),
69', Mroivili R. ↓, Marcel V. ↑,
70', Keita S. ↓, Louzif M. ↑,
74', Tshibuabua M. 🟨,
79', Baghdadi S. ↓, Bayanginisa H. ↑,
79', Fofana B. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
79', Leye B. ↓, Camelo L. ↑,
88', Mexique J. 🟨,
90+1', Tavares D. ↓, Gomis D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Sochaux is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochaux won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
20.02.26	Caen - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Stade Briochin - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sochaux - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Orleans - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTTW
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
20.02.26	Villefranche - Dijon	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Villefranche - Versailles	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Quevilly - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Villefranche - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	1:0
11.04.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	0:1
22.11.24	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1
30.03.24	Villefranche - Sochaux	2:2
20.10.23	Sochaux - Villefranche	3:3
Coupe De France
11.11.17	Villefranche - Sochaux	1:2

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