Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Vipers		Busoga United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.12	7	17.5
	1.15	6.2	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.31)	6.6 ↑ (4.5)	15.75 ↑ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vipers
80.4%

Draw
13.8%

Busoga United
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

19.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vipers's performance.

Busoga United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vipers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busoga United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vipers won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Vipers is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Vipers won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vipers won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
03.01.24	Vipers - NEC FC	4:1 ✺
30.12.23	Express - Vipers	2:0 ✺
22.12.23	Vipers - Bul	2:3 ✺
13.12.23	Maroons - Vipers	1:1 ✺
07.12.23	Vipers - Kitara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW
- Busoga United
Ugandan Super League
02.01.24	Busoga United - Kitara	2:1 ✺
28.12.23	Bul - Busoga United	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Busoga United - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Wakiso Giants - Busoga United	3:0 ✺
06.12.23	Busoga United - Maroons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
20.12.22	Busoga United - Vipers	1:0
16.03.22	Vipers - Busoga United	2:0
11.12.21	Busoga United - Vipers	1:4
13.04.21	Vipers - Busoga United	4:0
20.12.20	Busoga United - Vipers	3:5
02.11.19	Busoga United - Vipers	0:1
01.02.19	Vipers - Busoga United	1:0

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