The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Bolzano 24.4%
Draw 26.8%
Mestre 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
26.5%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
22.3%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bolzano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mestre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).
Bolzano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mestre is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bolzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mestre is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Bolzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
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