Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus Bolzano		Mestre

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.82
	3.64	3.31	1.86
	3.64	3.31	1.87
	3.5	3.3	1.8
	3.82	3.44	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.94)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bolzano
24.4%

Draw
26.8%

Mestre
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23%

26.5%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bolzano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mestre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

Bolzano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mestre is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mestre is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bolzano
Italian Serie D - Group C
05.11.23	Union Clodiense - Virtus Bolzano	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Virtus Bolzano - Cjarlins Muzane	0:3 ✺
28.10.23	Treviso - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Virtus Bolzano - Breno	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
05.11.23	Este - Mestre	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Mestre - Atletico Castegnato	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Union Clodiense - Mestre	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Treviso - Mestre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
04.02.23	Virtus Bolzano - Mestre	0:2
02.10.22	Mestre - Virtus Bolzano	2:0
06.06.21	Mestre - Virtus Bolzano	3:2
03.02.21	Virtus Bolzano - Mestre	1:2

Virtus Bolzano - Mestre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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