Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)


	Virtus Entella		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	6.75	Watch
	1.42	3.75	6.75
	1.38	3.9	7.2
	1.38	4.19	8.44
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.38	4.3	7.8	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.61)	4.05 ↑ (3.4)	7.45 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
65.5%

Draw
22.4%

Fiorenzuola
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

26.8%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Virtus Entella - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Entella will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 11).

Virtus Entella is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorenzuola is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Virtus Entella is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
26.02.23	Ancona - Virtus Entella	0:3 ✺
19.02.23	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
11.02.23	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Virtus Entella - Fermana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTW
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
26.02.23	Fiorenzuola - Cesena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Gubbio - Fiorenzuola	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montevarchi - Fiorenzuola	1:1
04.02.23	Fiorenzuola - Olbia	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Reggiana - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Virtus Entella	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Virtus Entella - Fiorenzuola	1:0

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