Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.33	Watch
	2.02	3	3.9	Watch
	1.96	3.21	4.13	Watch
	2	2.9	4
	1.93	3.14	4.62	Watch
	2	3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	4.21 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
47.3%

Draw
30.5%

Virtus Entella
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	17.2%	10.3%

Sampdoria - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Sampdoria (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sampdoria will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ghidotti S. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Abildgaard O. 44. Ioannou N. 23. Depaoli F. (C) 94. Esposito Sa. 16. Henderson L. 31. Vulikic S. 10. Cherubini L. 99. Brunori M. 9. Coda M.	1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 94. Mezzoni F. 4. Nichetti M. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 19. Debenedetti A. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 11. Begic T. 14. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 33. Conti F. 7. Cuni M. 25. Ferrari A. 21. Giordano S. 50. Martinelli T. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 13. Palma M. 30. Ravaglia N. (G)	3. Alborghetti M. 7. Bariti D. 10. Cuppone L. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 20. Fumagalli T. 90. Portanova D. 21. Russo F. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 5. Squizzato N. 46. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Chiappella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Cherubini L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Franzoni A. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
52', Di Mario S. 🟨,
65', Cherubini L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
67', Di Mario S. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
67', Nichetti M. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
71', Ioannou N. 🟨,
72', Henderson L. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Parodi L. ⚽, Karic N. (A),
75', Esposito Sa. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
75', Ioannou N. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
75', Coda M. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
84', Guiu B. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
84', Mezzoni F. ↓, Alborghetti M. ↑,
90+1', Brunori M. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)

Sampdoria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Entella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sampdoria is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Ferri J. (Inactive) Girelli S. (Inactive) Malagrida L. (Inactive) Narro V. (Health problems) Riccio A. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Venuti L. (Injury)

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive) Tiritiello A. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Padova - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sampdoria - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLW
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Virtus Entella - Monza	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Venezia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.10.25	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	3:1
Club Friendly
03.08.23	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	3:1
06.09.15	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	2:2
12.08.15	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	0:2
06.08.14	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	0:0

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