Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.78
	4.75	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.3	3	1.88
	5.17	3.16	1.83
	4.4	3.1	1.8
	4.69	3.08	1.79
	4.4	3.1	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.3)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)	1.82 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
20%

Draw
29.7%

Virtus Entella
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

30.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olbia's form might have worsened.

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olbia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Olbia - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Olbia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 7. Mordini D. 17. Palomba L. 4. Dessena D. 8. Schiavone A. 21. Biancu R. 20. Cavuoti N. 10. Ragatzu D. (C) 18. Nanni N.	22. De Lucia V. (G) 16. Manzi C. 23. Sadiki K. 4. Bonini F. 13. Zappella D. 14. Corbari A. (C) 25. Petermann D. 24. Lipani J. 26. Di Mario S. 7. Tomaselli G. 92. Santini C.
Substitutes
99. Bianchimano A. 90. Catania L. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 26. Mameli A. 43. Montebugnoli M. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G)	80. Faggi F. 2. Garattoni A. 37. Ghio U. 9. Giovannini R. 6. Granata A. 5. Muller Cecchini M. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 20. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 19. Valori M. 11. Vianni S.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0.

Olbia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Virtus Entella is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Entella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Olbia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
11.02.24	Ancona - Olbia	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.24	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Arezzo - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sestri Levante - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Virtus Entella - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1
11.02.23	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1
16.10.22	Virtus Entella - Olbia	2:1
04.05.22	Virtus Entella - Olbia	1:1
06.02.22	Olbia - Virtus Entella	2:3
28.09.21	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:3
Italian Serie C Group A
23.01.19	Olbia - Virtus Entella	2:1

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