Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 7

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Entella		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.55	3.75	6
	1.51	3.71	6.25
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.49	3.82	5.9	Watch
	1.51	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.02)	3.8 ↑ (3.14)	5.83 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
60.4%

Draw
24%

Olbia
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Virtus Entella - Olbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Olbia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Lucia V. (G) 13. Zappella D. 77. Parodi L. (C) 16. Manzi C. 4. Bonini F. 17. Tascone S. 25. Petermann D. 14. Corbari A. 8. Meazzi L. 30. Zamparo L. 92. Santini C.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 21. Biancu R. 2. Zallu F. 10. Ragatzu D. 11. Contini G. 18. Nanni N.
Substitutes
29. Banfi E. 10. Clemenza L. 26. Di Mario S. 9. Disanto F. 21. Faggioli A. 6. Kontek I. 79. Lancini E. 24. Lipani J. 98. Mosti N. 5. Muller Cecchini M. 1. Paroni A. (G) 28. Reali S. 23. Sadiki K. 20. Siatounis A. 7. Tomaselli G.	20. Cavuoti N. 27. Fabbri F. 6. Incerti D. F. 26. Mameli A. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 22. van der Want M. (G)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2.

Virtus Entella has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olbia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Entella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Virtus Entella - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Vis Pesaro - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Virtus Entella - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
08.09.23	Pineto - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- US Olbia 1905
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Olbia - Ancona	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Olbia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Arezzo - Olbia	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Olbia - Sassari Torres	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.02.23	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1
16.10.22	Virtus Entella - Olbia	2:1
04.05.22	Virtus Entella - Olbia	1:1
06.02.22	Olbia - Virtus Entella	2:3
28.09.21	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:3
Italian Serie C Group A
23.01.19	Olbia - Virtus Entella	2:1
21.11.18	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:2

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