The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Francavilla 60.4%
Draw 23.3%
Manfredonia 16.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
26.4%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
27.7%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.
Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Virtus Francavilla - Manfredonia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Ahmetaj M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group H Playoffs and 6th).
In recent outings, Virtus Francavilla has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Manfredonia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Virtus Francavilla carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Francavilla has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 0.7:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus Francavilla against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
Italy
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