Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Audace Cerignola		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6.25
	1.41	4.07	6.4
	1.57	3.58	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	3.85 ↓ (4.38)	6.12 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
61.6%

Draw
23.6%

Nocerina
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

22%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Nocerina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Audace Cerignola is certain favorite.

In this match Audace Cerignola is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.03.22	Lavello - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Nardo - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Gladiator	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Bisceglie - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
27.03.22	Nocerina - Molfetta	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Casertana - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
09.03.22	Città di Brindisi - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Nocerina - San Giorgio	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Nardo - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
14.11.21	Nocerina - Audace Cerignola	2:3
22.12.19	Audace Cerignola - Nocerina	3:1

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