Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 6

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Vis Pesaro		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.31	5.03
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.72	3.24	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.38)	3.22 ↑ (3)	4.35 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
50.6%

Draw
28.4%

Fermana
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vis Pesaro's performance.

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fermana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Vis Pesaro - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neri F. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 31. Cusumano F. 25. Mattioli A. 3. Zoia R. 39. Iervolino A. 37. Valdifiori M. 38. Rossetti M. 10. Di Paola M. 14. de Vries J. 7. Pucciarelli M.	1. Borghetto N. (G) 27. Calderoni M. 14. Padella E. 30. Laverone L. 16. Fontana T. 20. Giandonato M. 26. Misuraca G. 5. Spedalieri J. 10. Pinzi R. 9. Curatolo D. 70. Semprini M.
Substitutes
19. Afonso Peixoto 15. Ceccacci M. 80. Da Pozzo L. 28. Foresta A. 60. Gulli M. 99. Kemayou N. 23. Loru L. 21. Marcandella D. 12. Mariani M. (G) 8. Nina C. 22. Polverino E. (G) 6. Rossoni S. 9. Sylla Y. 5. Tonucci D.	87. Benkhalqui M. O. 19. Biral N. 2. Eleuteri A. 6. Fort F. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 69. Montini M. 23. Palmucci S. 11. Paponi D. 3. Pistolesi F. 15. Santi P. 8. Scorza C. 7. Tilli R. 18. Vessella M.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Vis Pesaro is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Vis Pesaro - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Carrarese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
08.09.23	Vis Pesaro - Olbia	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
19.09.23	Fermana - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Gubbio - Fermana	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Fermana - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	Carrarese - Fermana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
18.03.23	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	0:1
20.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1
13.02.22	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	1:1
02.10.21	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:0
18.04.21	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	1:1
23.12.20	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	2:0
22.02.20	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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