Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena


	SPAL		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.18	3.1	3.35
	2.15	3.1	3.61
	2.17	3.13	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.07	3.14	3.37	Watch
	2.18	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.41)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	3.37 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
43.1%

Draw
29.6%

Vis Pesaro
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vis Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 29. Nador S. 13. Polito V. 3. Bruscagin M. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 33. D'Orazio L. 10. Radrezza I. 19. Mignanelli D. 11. Rao E. 7. Antenucci M.	22. Vukovic A. (G) 26. Coppola F. 6. Palomba L. 3. Zoia R. 77. Afonso Peixoto 7. Pucciarelli M. 17. Paganini L. 71. Tavernaro F. 10. Di Paola M. 9. Nicastro F. 11. Molina J. I.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 27. Boccia A. 80. Buchel M. 91. Conte O. 90. Kane L. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 94. Roda A. 95. Tarolli S.	16. D'Innocenzo F. 23. Forte M. 37. La Rosa A. 1. Munari M. (G) 13. Neri G. M. 8. Nina C. 20. Obi J. 90. Okoro A. 30. Orellana C. 14. Rabbini M. 99. Zocchi S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Palomba L. 🟨,
34', Molina J. I. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
45+1', Nador S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Radrezza I. 🟨,
57', Radrezza I. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
63', Nicastro F. ↓, Orellana C. ↑,
67', Polito V. ↓, Arena M. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Paganini L. ⚽,
76', Orellana C. 🟨,
77', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
86', D'Orazio L. ↓, Conte O. ↑,
86', Tavernaro F. ↓, Neri G. M. ↑,
90+1', Zoia R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Recent matches SPAL is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vis Pesaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SPAL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.24	Pontedera - SPAL	5:1 ✺
23.11.24	SPAL - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Legnago Salus - SPAL	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	SPAL - Pineto	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Ternana - SPAL	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
15.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.24	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1
02.09.23	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	1:0
Club Friendly
11.09.20	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	0:2

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