Match Info

Capixaba - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa (Vitoria)


	Vitória ES		Capixaba SC

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.25	8.5
	1.27	4.7	9.28
	1.32	4.48	9.06	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.3	5.12	9.7
	1.33	4.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	4.56 ↑ (4.06)	8.92 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória ES
69.8%

Draw
20%

Capixaba SC
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória ES's performance.

Capixaba SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capixaba SC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Vitória ES - Capixaba SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucao (G)
23. Caio Ferraz
18. Canario
16. Geisandro
5. Gualberto
3. Guilherme Truyts
20. Gustavo Tonoli
8. Joao Paulo
27. Mailson
9. Patrick
11. Vini
Substitutes
22. Abuda
17. Alexsandro
10. Carlos Vitor
25. Cezini
. Felipe Quieza
2. Foguete
15. Jonata
21. Junior Vernier (G)
24. Kaiky
13. Marcelinho
14. Stuart
7. Thiago Ramos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gustavo Tonoli ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Gustavo Tonoli ⚽,
34', Gilliard 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gian Carlos ↓, Montes J. ↑,
46', Fernandes G. ↓, Felijao ↑,
46', Cafe ↓, Tavares G. ↑,
46', Patrick ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
56', Alexsandro 🟨,
63', Gilliard ↓, Matheus Cazares ↑,
63', Joao Paulo ↓, Jonata ↑,
63', Gustavo Tonoli ↓, Cezini ↑,
79', Marcos Paulo ↓, Dembele ↑,
80', Canario ↓, Kaiky ↑,
85', Vini ↓, Stuart ↑,
87', Geisandro 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vitória ES is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Capixaba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vitória ES is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vitória ES won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Vitória ES won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
29.01.26	Noroeste - Vitória ES	0:4 ✺
24.01.26	Vitória ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vitória ES - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTW
- Capixaba SC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
29.01.26	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Serra - Capixaba SC	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Porto Vitória - Capixaba SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
12.02.25	Vitória ES - Capixaba SC	1:2

Vitória ES - Capixaba SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide