Match Info

Capixaba - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Gil Bernardes da Silveira (Sumare) (Vila Velha)


	Capixaba SC		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.15	2.05
	2.95	3.43	2.11
	3.01	3.46	2.12	Watch
	3.08	3.32	2.1
	3.2	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.12)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	2.09 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Capixaba SC
29.4%

Draw
27.3%

Vilavelhense
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capixaba SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Capixaba SC's form might have worsened.

Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilavelhense's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vilavelhense will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vilavelhense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Capixaba (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Vilavelhense (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Vilavelhense (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.75) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Capixaba (votes: 2 - 25%). Vilavelhense (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno (G) 4. Carlos 2. Davi Mineiro 18. Fernandes G. 20. Gian Carlos 6. Gilliard 9. Jeffin 19. Marquinhos 5. Oliveira H. 8. Pepe 15. Tavares G.	1. Lucas Pacheco (G) 8. Alberto 5. Borjao 9. Daniel Rodrigues 4. Gabriel Dembele 11. Guilherme 10. Juninho 6. Kainandro 7. Lucas Bonete 2. Makelele 3. Palacios Cantillo J. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Carlos 🟨,
32', Gabriel Dembele 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Palacios Cantillo J. D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Daniel Rodrigues ↓, Shaider ↑,
46', Juninho ↓, Kelvin ↑,
46', Alberto ↓, Campos Almeida E. d. S. ↑,
61', Lucas Bonete ↓, Joao Rozario ↑,
67', Gian Carlos ↓, Feijao ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Fernandes G. ⚽,
76', Gilliard 🟨,
77', Gilliard ↓, Tavares G. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Guilherme ⚽,
86', Pepe ↓, Matheus Cazares ↑,
87', Marquinhos ↓, Dembele ↑,
88', Matheus Cazares 🟨,
89', Makelele 🟨,
90+6', Shaider ↓, Salah ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Capixaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vilavelhense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capixaba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Capixaba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capixaba SC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.01.26	Serra - Capixaba SC	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Porto Vitória - Capixaba SC	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
14.07.25	Noroeste - Capixaba SC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLL
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
26.01.26	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
12.07.25	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
23.02.25	Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC	1:2
Brazilian Capixaba 2
24.11.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	1:0
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
28.07.24	Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC	1:0
20.07.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1
02.06.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	1:0

Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide