The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitebsk 53.1%
Draw 26.8%
Baranovichi 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23.3%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
22.5%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitebsk's form might have worsened.
Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baranovichi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitebsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baranovichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vitebsk - Baranovichi Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vitebsk will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Goylo N. (G) 8. Anufriev A. 22. Egorov S. 4. Karzhitskiy V. 20. Krasnov E. 77. Minaev R. 17. Novykh E. 10. Protasov Y. 6. Rodionov K. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. (C) 86. Zgomba M.
12. Shapko D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 8. Balbukh V. 19. Bruy A. 20. Gusev B. 2. Kendysh S. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 33. Muzychenko K. 34. Petrenko A. 23. Vasilenko V.
Substitutes
18. Anikeev V. 14. Chervyakov Z. 15. Kuntsevich M. 7. Lisovskiy R. 33. Makushinsky Y. 69. Minkevich G. 23. Naumov N. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 88. Pesnyak D. 9. Teverov R.
5. Fedotov V. 29. Penchuk S. 7. Pukhov T. 27. Sarkisyan T. 3. Shcherbakov K. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 41. Volkovets D.
Coaches
Gurenko S.
Kirenkin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
5', Anufriev A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Artyukh M. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Lebedev F. ⚽, Vasilenko V. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Kendysh S. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Karzhitskiy V. ↓, Kuntsevich M. ↑,
46', Anufriev A. ↓, Lisovskiy R. ↑,
46', Minaev R. ↓, Teverov R. ↑,
52', Lapun E. 🟨,
58', Bruy A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Krasnov E. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Lapun E. ↓, Svidinskiy M. ↑,
67', Gusev B. ↓, Shcherbakov K. ↑,
72', Zgomba M. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
79', Novykh E. ↓, Anikeev V. ↑,
80', Teverov R. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Rodionov K. ⚽,
86', Artyukh M. ↓, Penchuk S. ↑,
90+1', Petrenko A. ↓, Fedotov V. ↑,
90+3', Muzychenko K. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
Vitebsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Baranovichi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vitebsk has had a series of away games.
In this match, Vitebsk is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Vitebsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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Goylo N. (G) 
Anufriev A. 
Protasov Y. 
Zgomba M. 
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