Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Gomel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Gomel		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.95	8.6
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.35	4.73	8.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	4.63 ↓ (4.8)	8.24 ↓ (8.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
68.5%

Draw
20.2%

Baranovichi
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.6%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

18.4%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gomel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gomel - Baranovichi Predictions

Users Predictions: Gomel will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 16. Zayats I. 4. Gavrilovich A. 33. Sotnikov V. 23. Danilin K. 13. Lisakovich D. 19. Silinskiy D. 9. Leonovich K. 10. Laptev D. (C) 11. Simanenka T.	12. Shapko D. (G) 19. Bruy A. 2. Kendysh S. 33. Muzychenko K. 11. Ryabykh N. 10. Lebedev F. 9. Lapun E. (C) 8. Balbukh V. 23. Vasilenko V. 77. Artyukh M. 34. Petrenko A.
Substitutes
8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 49. Karatai A. (G) 21. Kovalevich D. 90. Kukushkin G. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 14. Pashevich P. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 77. Savitskiy A.	20. Gusev B. 29. Penchuk S. 7. Pukhov T. 27. Sarkisyan T. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 41. Volkovets D.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.	Kirenkin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Kendysh S. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Petrenko A. ⚽, Vasilenko V. (A),
36', Kendysh S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Leonovich K. ↓, Pashevich P. ↑,
46', Sotnikov V. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
46', Vasilenko V. 🟨,
60', Kovalevich D. 🟨,
62', Lapun E. ↓, Svidinskiy M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Danilin K. ⚽, Laptev D. (A),
72', Balbukh V. ↓, Gusev B. ↑,
72', Petrenko A. ↓, Penchuk S. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Artyukh M. ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Laptev D. ⚽, Silinskiy D. (A),
76', Shaykhtdinov D. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
82', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
90+2', Artyukh M. ↓, Sarkisyan T. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Gomel is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baranovichi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gomel is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Gomel will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

FC Gomel: 2.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	15	39
11	Baranovici	23	6	7	10	24:38	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
08.05.26	Gomel - Isloch Minsk	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Belshina - Gomel	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gomel - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Naftan - Gomel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
08.05.26	Baranovichi - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Baranovichi - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Brest - Baranovichi	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLLL

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