Match Info

Date: 21 March 2020, Saturday


	Vitebsk		Gorodeja

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.2	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.31	2.85	3.17
	2.4	3.05	3.18
	2.25	3	3.2	Watch
	2.11	3.11	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.28)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.24 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
40.6%

Draw
30.8%

Gorodeja
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

21.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorodeja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	19.2%	10.1%

Vitebsk - Gorodeja Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Vitebsk will win (votes: 70 - 70.7%). Gorodeja will win (votes: 10 - 10.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitebsk: 61.7% – 79.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Club Friendly
06.03.20	Belshina - Vitebsk	1:2 ✺
29.02.20	Vitebsk - Orsha	2:3
08.02.20	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	0:0
31.01.20	Vitebsk - Smolevichi	1:2 ✺
29.01.20	Vitebsk - Isloch Minsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTLW
- FC Gorodeja
Club Friendly
07.03.20	Gorodeja - Neman Grodno	2:1
29.02.20	Gorodeja - Naftan	4:1 ✺
26.02.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gorodeja	1:3 ✺
22.02.20	Belshina - Gorodeja	2:1 ✺
19.02.20	Gorodeja - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.08.19	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	0:2
05.04.19	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	1:1
24.11.18	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	1:0
01.07.18	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	1:1
10.09.17	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	3:2
05.05.17	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	0:0
17.09.16	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	1:1

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