Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Basconia		Beasain

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.95
	1.77	3.72	3.96	Watch
	1.8	3.25	3.9
	1.89	3.32	3.71
	1.73	3.6	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.32)	3.43 ↑ (3.16)	3.95 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
50.5%

Draw
26.5%

Beasain
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basconia's performance.

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basconia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basconia - Beasain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Basconia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Basconia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Gernika - Basconia	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Basconia - Sestao	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tudelano - Basconia	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Basconia - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mutilvera - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWTT
- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Zaragoza B - Beasain	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Beasain - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Beasain - Alfaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.11.24	Basconia - Beasain	2:3
10.02.24	Beasain - Basconia	1:1
24.09.23	Basconia - Beasain	0:2
08.05.22	Beasain - Basconia	3:0
02.04.22	Basconia - Beasain	1:1
27.11.21	Beasain - Basconia	0:1

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