Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	San Ignacio		Basconia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.46	3.53	1.89
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.84)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	1.9 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ignacio
26.3%

Draw
26.1%

Basconia
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.9%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

San Ignacio - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
42', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Ignacio won 0.

Recent matches San Ignacio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basconia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches San Ignacio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:24 (average 1.5:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams San Ignacio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.02.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	San Viator - San Ignacio	0:3 ✺
02.02.25	San Ignacio - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
19.01.25	San Ignacio - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.02.25	Padura - Basconia	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Basconia - Leioa	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Aretxabaleta - Basconia	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Basconia - San Viator	7:0 ✺
19.01.25	Basconia - Eibar C	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.10.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	3:0
18.02.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	2:1
01.10.23	San Ignacio - Basconia	0:1
11.03.23	Basconia - San Ignacio	4:4
06.11.22	San Ignacio - Basconia	2:4
12.02.22	Basconia - San Ignacio	3:1
09.10.21	San Ignacio - Basconia	0:2

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