Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Vitoria		Deusto

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.49	3.65	4.84
	1.52	3.63	5.36
	1.5	3.84	5.89
	1.53	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	3.72 ↓ (4.2)	5.43 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria
59.3%

Draw
24.2%

Deusto
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitoria won 1.

Vitoria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deusto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vitoria to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vitoria won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitoria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.02.24	Leioa - Vitoria	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Vitoria - Durango	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Lagun Onak - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Vitoria - Urduliz	3:2 ✺
19.01.24	Pasaia - Vitoria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWT
- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.02.24	Deusto - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Padura - Deusto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Deusto - Touring KE	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	San Ignacio - Deusto	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Beasain - Deusto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.10.23	Deusto - Vitoria	1:2
07.05.23	Vitoria - Deusto	1:2
29.04.23	Deusto - Vitoria	0:0
04.02.23	Vitoria - Deusto	2:2
01.10.22	Deusto - Vitoria	1:1
23.01.22	Vitoria - Deusto	1:0
19.09.21	Deusto - Vitoria	2:4

Vitoria - Deusto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide