Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Deusto		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.92
	2.21	3.14	3.19
	2.22	3.14	3.15
	2.19	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	3.1 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
40.9%

Draw
29.7%

Pasaia
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Deusto - Pasaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Baroja M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2.

Deusto is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pasaia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deusto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pasaia	5	3	1	1	7:6	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Lagun Onak - Deusto	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Zarautz KE - Deusto	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deusto - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	San Ignacio - Deusto	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Deusto - Derio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Pasaia - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Ignacio - Pasaia	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pasaia - Derio	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Touring KE - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Pasaia - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Pasaia - Deusto	0:1
18.01.25	Pasaia - Deusto	1:2
07.09.24	Deusto - Pasaia	1:1
17.02.24	Deusto - Pasaia	0:1
30.09.23	Pasaia - Deusto	1:0
18.02.23	Pasaia - Deusto	0:2
15.10.22	Deusto - Pasaia	5:1

Deusto - Pasaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide