Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Leioa		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.4	1.65
	3.75	3.6	1.8
	4	3	1.76
	4.56	3.4	1.68
	3.91	3.24	1.88
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (5.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
22%

Draw
26.7%

Vitoria
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

24.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leioa won 0.

Recent matches Leioa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitoria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.02.24	Pasaia - Leioa	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Leioa - Padura	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Touring KE - Leioa	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Leioa - Beasain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLW
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.02.24	Vitoria - Durango	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Lagun Onak - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Vitoria - Urduliz	3:2 ✺
19.01.24	Pasaia - Vitoria	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Vitoria - Padura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.10.23	Vitoria - Leioa	6:0
06.04.23	Vitoria - Leioa	2:0
10.12.22	Leioa - Vitoria	1:1
02.04.22	Leioa - Vitoria	0:2
27.11.21	Vitoria - Leioa	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.19	Vitoria - Leioa	3:1
13.10.18	Leioa - Vitoria	1:1

Leioa - Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide